Quotes about probability
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Chuck Palahniuk photo
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Baruch Spinoza photo

“In practical life we are compelled to follow what is most probable ; in speculative thought we are compelled to follow truth.”

Baruch Spinoza (1632–1677) Dutch philosopher

Letter 56 (60), to Hugo Boxel (1674) http://oll.libertyfund.org/?option=com_staticxt&staticfile=show.php%3Ftitle=1711&chapter=144218&layout=html&Itemid=27
Source: The Letters
Context: When you say that if I deny, that the operations of seeing, hearing, attending, wishing, &c., can be ascribed to God, or that they exist in him in any eminent fashion, you do not know what sort of God mine is; I suspect that you believe there is no greater perfection than such as can be explained by the aforesaid attributes. I am not astonished; for I believe that, if a triangle could speak, it would say, in like manner, that God is eminently triangular, while a circle would say that the divine nature is eminently circular. Thus each would ascribe to God its own attributes, would assume itself to be like God, and look on everything else as ill-shaped.
The briefness of a letter and want of time do not allow me to enter into my opinion on the divine nature, or the questions you have propounded. Besides, suggesting difficulties is not the same as producing reasons. That we do many things in the world from conjecture is true, but that our redactions are based on conjecture is false. In practical life we are compelled to follow what is most probable; in speculative thought we are compelled to follow truth. A man would perish of hunger and thirst, if he refused to eat or drink, till he had obtained positive proof that food and drink would be good for him. But in philosophic reflection this is not so. On the contrary, we must take care not to admit as true anything, which is only probable. For when one falsity has been let in, infinite others follow.
Again, we cannot infer that because sciences of things divine and human are full of controversies and quarrels, therefore their whole subject-matter is uncertain; for there have been many persons so enamoured of contradiction, as to turn into ridicule geometrical axioms.

Rachel Caine photo
Kazuo Ishiguro photo
Richelle Mead photo

“Let me get this straight. The future of our relationship hinged on advice from a fifteen-year-old girl, a probably untrue story from a one-eyed Chihuahua trainer, and me unromantically - yet skillfully - kissing you on top of silverware and china?”

Variant: The future of our relationship hinged on advice from a fifteen-year old girl, a probably untrue story from a one-eyed Chihuahua trainer, and me unromantically – yet skillfully – kissing you on top of silverware and china?
Source: The Indigo Spell

Isaac Asimov photo
Bret Easton Ellis photo
Rick Riordan photo
Richelle Mead photo
Arthur C. Clarke photo

“Clarke's First Law: When a distinguished but elderly scientist states that something is possible, he is almost certainly right. When he states that something is impossible, he is very probably wrong.”

Arthur C. Clarke (1917–2008) British science fiction writer, science writer, inventor, undersea explorer, and television series host

"Hazards of Prophecy: The Failure of Imagination" in Profiles of the Future (1962)

Perhaps the adjective "elderly" requires definition. In physics, mathematics, and astronautics it means over thirty; in the other disciplines, senile decay is sometimes postponed to the forties. There are, of course, glorious exceptions; but as every researcher just out of college knows, scientists of over fifty are good for nothing but board meetings, and should at all costs be kept out of the laboratory!

"Hazards of Prophecy: The Failure of Imagination" in Profiles of the Future (1962; as revised in 1973)
On Clarke's Laws

Max Cleland photo
John Kennedy Toole photo
Cassandra Clare photo

“Only Jace could look cool in pajama bottoms and an old T-shirt, but he pulled it off, probably through sheer force of will.”

Clary about Jace, pg. 329
Source: The Mortal Instruments, City of Bones (2007)

Elizabeth Gilbert photo
Harper Lee photo
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H.L. Mencken photo

“Equality before the law is probably forever inattainable. It is a noble ideal, but it can never be realized, for what men value in this world is not rights but privileges.”

H.L. Mencken (1880–1956) American journalist and writer

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1940s–present, Minority Report : H.L. Mencken's Notebooks (1956)

Rachel Caine photo
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Jim Butcher photo
Jim Butcher photo
Junot Díaz photo
Suzanne Collins photo
William Faulkner photo
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Hal Higdon photo

“You’re a runner. You probably don’t eat carbs, do you?”

Hal Higdon (1931) American distance runner and writer

Marathon: The Ultimate Training Guide: Advice, Plans, and Programs for Half and Full Marathons

Ned Vizzini photo
Cassandra Clare photo
John C. Maxwell photo

“In most cases, those who want power probably shouldn't have it, those who enjoy it probably do so for the wrong reasons, and those who want most to hold on to it don't understand that it's only temporary.”

John C. Maxwell (1947) American author, speaker and pastor

Source: Becoming a Person of Influence: How to Positively Impact the Lives of Others

Dave Barry photo

“Babies and Other Hazards of Sex: How to Make a Tiny Person in Only 9 Months, with Tools You Probably Have around the Home.”

Dave Barry (1947) American writer

Source: Babies and Other Hazards of Sex: How to Make a Tiny Person in Only 9 Months, with Tools You Probably Have around the Home

“If he full-out flexed, I would probably faint, or jump off the building.”

Ilona Andrews American husband-and-wife novelist duo

Source: Magic Burns

Emma Thompson photo
Ernest Cline photo
James Patterson photo
Rachel Caine photo
James Herriot photo
Dorothy Parker photo

“If I didn't care for fun and such,
I'd probably amount to much.
But I shall stay the way I am,
Because I do not give a damn.”

Dorothy Parker (1893–1967) American poet, short story writer, critic and satirist

16 August 1925
Source: Enough Rope (1926)

Richard Brautigan photo
Stephen R. Covey photo

“At some time in your life, you probably had someone believe in you when you didn't believe in yourself.”

Source: The 7 Habits of Highly Effective People: Powerful Lessons in Personal Change

Oprah Winfrey photo

“You aren't your past, you are probability of your future.”

Oprah Winfrey (1954) American businesswoman, talk show host, actress, producer, and philanthropist
Lionel Shriver photo
Charlaine Harris photo
Bret Easton Ellis photo
Jorge Luis Borges photo

“Reality is not always probable, or likely. But if you're writing a story, you have to make it as plausible as you can, because if not, the reader's imagination will reject it.”

Jorge Luis Borges (1899–1986) Argentine short-story writer, essayist, poet and translator, and a key figure in Spanish language literature

Discussion published in the Columbia Forum and later quoted in Worldwide Laws of Life : 200 Eternal Spiritual Principles (1998) by John Templeton

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“Probability is not a mere computation of odds on the dice or more complicated variants; it is the acceptance of the lack of certainty in our knowledge and the development of methods for dealing with our ignorance.”

Nassim Nicholas Taleb (1960) Lebanese-American essayist, scholar, statistician, former trader and risk analyst

Source: Fooled by Randomness: The Hidden Role of Chance in Life and in the Markets

Sophie Kinsella photo
William Saroyan photo

“I do not know what makes a writer, but it probably isn't happiness.”

William Saroyan (1908–1981) American writer

Source: The Bicycle Rider In Beverly Hills (1952)

Daniel Handler photo
John Flanagan photo
Jonathan Stroud photo
Rick Riordan photo
Leszek Kolakowski photo
Cassandra Clare photo
James Patterson photo
Wendell Berry photo
Donald A. Norman photo
Penn Jillette photo

“Luck is probability taken personally.”

Penn Jillette (1955) American magician

Often repeated by Penn Jillette, who attributes this quote to Chip Denman.[citation needed]
Misattributed

Scott Adams photo
Samuel Smiles photo

“We often discover what will do, by finding out what will not do; and probably he who never made a mistake never made a discovery.”

Samuel Smiles (1812–1904) Scottish author

Source: Self-Help; with Illustrations of Character and Conduct (1859), Ch. XI : Self-Culture — Facilities and Difficulties.
Source: The Lives Of George And Robert Stephenson
Context: We learn wisdom from failure much more than from success. We often discover what will do, by finding out what will not do; and probably he who never made a mistake never made a discovery.

Meg Cabot photo
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Charles Darwin photo

“The loss of these tastes [for poetry and music] is a loss of happiness, and may possibly be injurious to the intellect, and more probably to the moral character, by enfeebling the emotional part of our nature.”

Charles Darwin (1809–1882) British naturalist, author of "On the origin of species, by means of natural selection"

Source: The Autobiography of Charles Darwin, 1809–82

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Hunter S. Thompson photo

“The brutal reality of politics would be probably intolerable without drugs.”

Hunter S. Thompson (1937–2005) American journalist and author

Source: Kingdom of Fear: Loathsome Secrets of a Star-Crossed Child in the Final Days of the American Century

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