Quotes about probability
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“Into the face of the young man who sat on the terrace of the Hotel Magnifique at Cannes there had crept a look of furtive shame, the shifty, hangdog look which announces that an Englishman is about to talk French. One of the things which Gertrude Butterwick had impressed on Monty Bodkin when he left for his holiday on the Riviera was that he must be sure to practise his French, and Gertrude’s word was law. So now, though he knew that it was going to make his nose tickle, he said:
‘Er, garçon.’
‘M’sieur?’
‘Er, garçon, esker-vous avez un spot de l’encre et une piece de papier—note papier, vous savez—et une envelope et une plume.’
The strain was too great. Monty relapsed into his native tongue.
‘I want to write a letter,’ he said. And having, like all lovers, rather a tendency to share his romance with the world, he would probably have added ‘to the sweetest girl on earth’, had not the waiter already bounded off like a retriever, to return a few moments later with the fixings.
‘V’la, sir! Zere you are, sir,’ said the waiter. He was engaged to a girl in Paris who had told him that when on the Riviera he must be sure to practise his English. ‘Eenk—pin—pipper—enveloppe—and a liddle bit of bloddin-pipper.’
‘Oh, merci,’ said Monty, well pleased at this efficiency. ‘Thanks. Right-ho.’
‘Right-ho, m’sieur,’ said the waiter.”

Source: The Luck of the Bodkins (1935)

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Arthur Schopenhauer photo

“Hope is the confusion of the desire for a thing with its probability.”

Arthur Schopenhauer (1788–1860) German philosopher

Source: Essays and Aphorisms

José Ortega Y Gasset photo
Suzan-Lori Parks photo
Jack Kerouac photo

“If you don't want to be in an argument with someone, it is probably best to try to solve the problem, rather than lying around hoping the other person will do it for you.”

E. Lockhart (1967) American writer of novels as E. Lockhart (mainly for teenage girls) and of picture books under real name Emily J…

Source: The Boy Book: A Study of Habits and Behaviors, Plus Techniques for Taming Them

“Statistically the probability of any one of us being here is so small that you would think the mere fact of existence would keep us all in a contented dazzlement of surprise.”

"On Probability and Possibility"
The Lives of a Cell: Notes of a Biology Watcher (1974)
Context: Statistically the probability of any one of us being here is so small that you would think the mere fact of existence would keep us all in a contented dazzlement of surprise. We are alive against the stupendous odds of genetics, infinitely outnumbered by all the alternates who might, except for luck, be in our places.

“An idyllic childhood is probably illusion.”

Martha Grimes (1931) American crime writer and literature professor

Source: The Lamorna Wink

Norman Mailer photo
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Margaret Mead photo

“Sister is probably the most competitive relationship within the family, but once the sisters are grown, it becomes the strongest relationship.”

Margaret Mead (1901–1978) American anthropologist

Attributed in Sisters by Birth Friends by Choice : All the Things I Love About You (2003) by Ellyn Sanna
2000s

Cassandra Clare photo

“I think they’ll probably put that on my gravestone. ‘He Was Heterosexual and Had Low Expectations.”

Alec Lightwood and Jace Herondale, pg. 438
Source: The Mortal Instruments, City of Heavenly Fire (2014)
Context: "'Sure, he likes you,' said Alec. 'You're heterosexual and have low expectations of father figures.'
'I think they'll probably put that on my gravestone. "He Was Heterosexual and Had Low Expectations."'"

Cassandra Clare photo
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Idries Shah photo
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Cassandra Clare photo
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Warren Ellis photo
Cassandra Clare photo
James Patterson photo

“We probably looked like starving orphan children. Hey! We were starving orphan children.”

James Patterson (1947) American author

Source: The Angel Experiment

Jenny Han photo
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Rick Riordan photo
Christopher Moore photo
Jonathan Stroud photo
Jodi Picoult photo
Cassandra Clare photo
Haruki Murakami photo
Sarah Vowell photo
Elizabeth Gilbert photo
Bono photo
Eoin Colfer photo

“If it looks like a Dwarf, and it smells like a Dwarf, then it's probably a Dwarf or a latrine wearing dungerees.”

Eoin Colfer (1965) Irish author of children's books

Source: The Lost Colony

Chelsea Handler photo
Haruki Murakami photo
Russell Crowe photo

“I think my reputation is something that I'll probably try to spend the rest of my life living it down and it probably won't work.”

Russell Crowe (1964) New Zealand-born Australian actor, film producer and musician

60 Minutes interview (2006)

Clay Shirky photo
Anaïs Nin photo
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Eliezer Yudkowsky photo
Kent Hovind photo
Ilana Mercer photo

“Anyone afraid of what he thinks television does to the world is probably just afraid of the world.”

Clive James (1939–2019) Australian author, critic, broadcaster, poet, translator and memoirist

'Introduction'
Essays and reviews, Glued to the Box (1983)

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Sören Kierkegaard photo

“From the Christian point of view it stands firm that the truly Christian venturing requires probability. p. 101”

Sören Kierkegaard (1813–1855) Danish philosopher and theologian, founder of Existentialism

1850s, Judge For Yourselves! 1851 (1876)

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“We have long observed that every neurosis has the result, and therefore probably the purpose, of forcing the patient out of real life, of alienating him from actuality.”

Sigmund Freud (1856–1939) Austrian neurologist known as the founding father of psychoanalysis

General Psychological Theory: Papers on Metapsychology https://books.google.com/books?id=T3F2XT_LxNwC&printsec=frontcover&dq=isbn:1416573593&hl=en&sa=X&ved=0ahUKEwiAvLT854_XAhVHKGMKHefOBU4Q6AEIJjAA Touchstone, (1963); Ch.1, "Formulation Regarding the Two Principles in Mental Functioning", (1911)
1910s

James Otis Jr. photo

“ALL PRECEDENTS ARE UNDER THE CONTROUL OF THE PRINCIPLES OF THE LAW … No Acts of Parliament can establish such a writ [writ of assistance enabling British search of homes for no reason]: … it would be void, "AN ACT AGAINST THE CONSTITUTION IS VOID." Vid. Viner. But … special writs may be granted on oath and probable suspicion.”

James Otis Jr. (1725–1783) Lawyer in colonial Massachusetts

Massachusetts Spy (April 29, 1773)(Principle of judicial review. In addition, much like the prohibition of unreasonable searches and seizures under the Fourth Amendment of the US Constitution).

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“In other words, when I say "what's the evidence for that?", it's not that I don't trust your rationality (although of course I don't trust your rationality either), but I just can't deduce what evidence you must have observed from your probability declaration alone even if you were fully rational.”

Wei Dai Cryptocurrency pioneer and computer scientist

In a discussion thread https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/zsznamBgNuj3XX2DP/self-congratulatory-rationalism#2pmeNAZ33A8y43464 on LessWrong, March 2014

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“The art of marketing is largely the art of brand building. When something is not a brand, it will be probably be viewed as a commodity.”

Philip Kotler (1931) American marketing author, consultant and professor

Philip Kotler (1999), as cited in: Dennis Adcock, ‎Al Halborg, ‎Caroline Ross (2001), Marketing: Principles and Practice. p. 208

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