Quotes about probability
page 16

P.G. Wodehouse photo
Stephen King photo
Mickey Spillane photo

“When you sit at home comfortably folded up in a chair beside a fire, have you ever thought what goes on outside there? Probably not. You pick up a book and read about things and stuff, getting a vicarious kick from people and events that never happened. You're doing it now, getting ready to fill in a normal life with the details of someone else's experiences. Fun, isn't it? You read about life on the outside thinking about how maybe you'd like it to happen to you, or at least how you'd like to watch it. Even the old Romans did it, spiced their life with action when they sat in the Coliseum and watched wild animals rip a bunch of humans apart, reveling in the sight of blood and terror. They screamed for joy and slapped each other on the back when murderous claws tore into the live flesh of slaves and cheered when the kill was made. Oh, it's great to watch, all right. Life through a keyhole. But day after day goes by and nothing like that ever happens to you so you think that it's all in books and not in reality at all and that's that. Still good reading, though. Tomorrow night you'll find another book, forgetting what was in the last and live some more in your imagination. But remember this: there are things happening out there. They go on every day and night making Roman holidays look like school picnics. They go on right under your very nose and you never know about them. Oh yes, you can find them all right. All you have to do is look for them. But I wouldn't if I were you because you won't like what you'll find. Then again, I'm not you and looking for those things is my job. They aren't nice things to see because they show people up for what they are. There isn't a coliseum any more, but the city is a bigger bowl, and it seats more people. The razor-sharp claws aren't those of wild animals but man's can be just as sharp and twice as vicious. You have to be quick, and you have to be able, or you become one of the devoured, and if you can kill first, no matter how and no matter who, you can live and return to the comfortable chair and the comfortable fire. But you have to be quick. And able. Or you'll be dead.”

Mickey Spillane (1918–2006) American writer

My Gun is Quick (1950)

Evelyn Underhill photo
James MacDonald photo

“It’s not unlikely that God would lie—that would be a matter of probability. It is impossible for God to lie.”

James MacDonald (1960) American pastor

Source: Always True (Moody, 2011), p. 51

Michael Savage photo

“How many gay people have not had children as a result of coming out of the closet and being gay? Millions, isn't that correct? Some of our most talented, wonderful, intelligent people, because of the openness of modern American society going back for now 40 years, have opted out of being hidden or closeted. In the old days, if a person was gay, or felt an attraction to the same sex, they probably would have gotten married to hide it. And they probably would've had a family, producing children. But because of this 'let it all hang out,' 'if you feel gay, act gay,' 'if it feels good, do it,' they've opted not to have children. And as a result, number one, society has lost millions of remarkable children. That's one point that is almost irrefutable. And for years I have thought about this. Why is society devolving so rapidly? One of the reasons is some of our most talented intelligent people have not had children. That's one point. And then there's another point I wanna make, and this is more important… I kept asking myself, why are gay people liberal? Why are most of them so liberal? Why is society unraveling on so many other levels, putting aside the issue of sexuality. And one of the reasons is because some of our most intelligent…passionate people happen to be gay. And while in the past they would've taken on other causes that are so critical for the betterment of society, they've been single-focused only on gay issues. And as a result society has again devolved, because the gay movement has sucked so many people into a single issue. They've ignored all the other important issues of our society, which is why we're collapsing. Why would a gay person want open borders? Why would a gay person want unlimited welfare? Why would a gay person want to be tolerant for Islamists coming into America? Because they're not focused on any of it. Their community has focused them only on one issue. And as a result the entire society has lost out. … And therefore I would say to you that a traditional society has offered us protections, both obvious and not so obvious, that we may not be aware of, and that openness is not necessarily for the betterment of the people or for society.”

The Savage Nation
The Savage Nation (1995- ), 2015-04-29
Radio (Audio: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YFNm7C_uJpI&feature=youtu.be&t=40m27s)
2015

Edward Condon photo
Sören Kierkegaard photo

“If a person is unwilling to make a decisive resolution, if he wants to cheat God of the heart’s daring venture in which a person ventures way out and loses sight of all shrewdness and probability, indeed, takes leave of his senses or at least all his worldly mode of thinking, if instead of beginning with one step he almost craftily seeks to find out something, to have the infinite certainty changed into a finite certainty, then this discourse will not be able to benefit him. There is an upside-downness that wants to reap before it sows; there is a cowardliness that wants to have certainty before it begins. There is a hypersensitivity so copious in words that it continually shrinks from acting; but what would it avail a person if, double-minded and fork-tongued he wanted to dupe God, trap him in probability, but refused to understand the improbable, that one must lose everything in order to gain everything, and understand it so honestly that, in the most crucial moment, when his soul is already shuddering at the risk, he does not again leap to his own aid with the explanation that he has not yet fully made a resolution but merely wanted to feel his way. Therefore, all discussion of struggling with God in prayer, of the actual loss (since if pain of annihilation is not actually suffered, then the sufferer is not yet out upon the deep, and his scream is not the scream of danger but in the face of danger) and the figurative victory cannot have the purpose of persuading anyone or of converting the situation into a task for secular appraisal and changing God’s gift of grace to the venture into temporal small change for the timorous. It really would not help a person if the speaker, by his oratorical artistry, led him to jump into a half hour’s resolution, by the ardor of conviction started a fire in him so that he would blaze in a momentary good intention without being able to sustain a resolution or to nourish an intention as soon as the speaker stopped talking.”

Eighteen Upbuilding Discourses, Hong, One Who Prays Aright Struggles In Prayer and is Victorious-In That God is Victorious p. 380-381
1840s, Eighteen Upbuilding Discourses

Kent Hovind photo
Gore Vidal photo
William Herschel photo
Henry Liddon photo
Jacques-Yves Cousteau photo

“Man, of all the animals, is probably the only one to regard himself as a great delicacy.”

Jacques-Yves Cousteau (1910–1997) French naval officer, explorer, conservationist, filmmaker, innovator, scientist, photographer, author and …

Octopus and Squid: The Soft Intelligence (1973)

Max Ernst photo

“A picture that I painted after the defeat of the Republicans in Spain [in 1936, Max Ernst was a resolute opponent of the Spanish dictator General Franco, who was supported by Germany's Nazi regime] is 'The Fireside Angel'. This is, of course, an ironic title for a rampaging beast that destroys and annihilates anything that gets in its way. This was my idea at the time of what would probably happen in the world, and I was right.”

Max Ernst (1891–1976) German painter, sculptor and graphic artist

Quote in 'Room 10, Max Ernst', the exhibition text of FONDATION BEYELER 2 - MAX ERNST, 2013, texts: Raphaël Bouvier & Ioana Jimborean; ed. Valentina Locatelli; transl. Karen Williams
Max Ernst is referring to his painting 'L'ange du foyer' / 'Le triomphe du surréalisme', 1937 ('The Fireside Angel' / The Triumph of Surrealism'); the alternative title was offered by Ernst himself in 1938, when he spontaneously opted for a different title: 'The Triumph of Surrealism'.
1936 - 1950

Michelle Obama photo

“I would be very present in his life right now. I would be probably with him a good chunk of the time, just there to talk, to figure out what's going on in his head, to figure out who's in his life and who's not, you know.”

Michelle Obama (1964) lawyer, writer, wife of Barack Obama and former First Lady of the United States

On what she would do in the place of Justin Bieber's mother (10 February 2014) http://www.nydailynews.com/entertainment/gossip/michelle-obama-justin-bieber-mom-present-life-article-1.1608513#ixzz2wGte2OyF
2010s

Charles Grey, 2nd Earl Grey photo

“[Accounts from Russia lead me to conclude, ] as you probably have done, that no reasonable hope of success is to be entertained in that quarter.”

Charles Grey, 2nd Earl Grey (1764–1845) Prime Minister of the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Ireland

Letter to Lord Grenville (1 November 1812) on Napoleon's ill-fated invasion of Russia, quoted in Rory Muir, Britain and the Defeat of Napoleon, 1807-1815 (Yale University Press, 1996), p. 231.
1810s

Sean Hannity photo

“Here you are, you're a liberal, probably define peace as the absence of conflict. I define peace as the ability to defend yourself and blow your enemies into smithereens.”

Sean Hannity (1961) American television host, conservative political commentator

Hannity
Fox News
Television
http://mediamatters.org/mmtv/200910130066
2009-10-13

Mike Huckabee photo
Blackie Lawless photo
Jeb Bush photo
Robert A. Heinlein photo
Robert A. Heinlein photo
Donald J. Trump photo

“If you don't tell people about your success, they probably won't know about it.”

Donald J. Trump (1946) 45th President of the United States of America

Trump: How to Get Rich (2004), p. xiii
2000s

Arthur Schuster photo

“Most probably some law hitherto undiscovered exists.”

Arthur Schuster (1851–1934) Anglo-German physicist

commenting the misunderstood law governing the spectral lines in light, in [Proceedings of the Royal Society of London, Volume 31, Royal Society, 1881, 343]

Paul A. Samuelson photo
Ray Comfort photo
Robert Chambers (publisher, born 1802) photo
Ryū Murakami photo
François Englert photo
Robert T. Bakker photo

“Most experts have assumed that the allosaurs, about 35 feet long, were the worst threats to the herbivores of the Jurassic, some of which were gigantic and probably able to fend off even an allosaur. But epanterias would have spelled trouble for everyone.”

Robert T. Bakker (1945) American paleontologist

As quoted in Malcolm W. Browne, Scientist Raises Question: Is Tyrannosaurus Still Rex? http://www.nytimes.com/1990/01/04/us/scientist-raises-question-is-tyrannosaurus-still-rex.html, The New York Times (January 4, 1990)

“Today's Real Man is probably closest to Spencer Tracy or Gary Cooper in spirit; he realizes that while birds, flowers, poetry, and small children do not add to the quality of life in quite the same manner as a Super Bowl and six-pack of Budweiser, he's learned to appreciate them anyway.”

Real Men Don't Eat Quiche, ch. 2 http://books.google.com/books?id=VKuGe7aiswcC&q=%22Today's+Real+Man+is+probably+closest+to+Spencer+Tracy+or+Gary+Cooper+in+spirit+he+realizes+that+while+birds+flowers+poetry+and+small+children+do+not+add+to+the+quality+of+life+in+quite+the+same+manner+as+a+Super+Bowl+and+six-pack+of+Budweiser+he's+learned+to+appreciate+them+anyway%22&pg=PA18#v=onepage

Angela Davis photo
Calvin Coolidge photo
Douglas Adams photo
Arsène Wenger photo

“Of the nine red cards this season we probably deserved half of them.”

Arsène Wenger (1949) French footballer and manager

7 April 1999
Quotations from the Public Comments of Arsene Wenger: Manager, Arsenal Football Club (2005)

Alastair Reynolds photo
Kent Hovind photo
George William Curtis photo
Tina Fey photo

“[M]isunderstanding of probability may be the greatest of all general impediments to scientific literacy.”

"Happy Thoughts on a Sunny Day in New York City", p. 9
Dinosaur in a Haystack (1995)

“Probability is the mathematics of uncertainty. …many modern theories have uncertainty built into their foundations. Thus learning to think in terms of probability is essential.”

Richard Hamming (1915–1998) American mathematician and information theorist

Methods of Mathematics Applied to Calculus, Probability, and Statistics (1985)

Robert E. Howard photo

“If I was wealthy I'd never do anything but poke around in ruined cities all over the world - and probably get snake-bit.”

Robert E. Howard (1906–1936) American author

From a letter to H. P. Lovecraft (1931)
Letters

Karl Pilkington photo
Linus Torvalds photo
Paul Ryan photo

“This whole thing is a big gamble, but it's probably the best gamble to take before throwing in the towel and allowing sectarian genocide to take over. I personally give this three to six months to find out.”

Paul Ryan (1970) American politician

2007-02-23
Ryan sees 'last chance' for U.S., Iraq
Craig
Gilbert
Journal Sentinel
http://www.jsonline.com/news/statepolitics/29326244.html
2012-09-30
in reference to the 2007 Iraq War troop surge

Salvador Dalí photo
Richard Serra photo
Whittaker Chambers photo

“Now, the Communists recognized at once (or, more probably, after they had stirred things up a bit) that Senator McCarthy is a political godsend.”

Whittaker Chambers (1901–1961) Defected Communist spy

Source: Odyssey of a Friend (1969), p. 57

Neal Stephenson photo
Friedrich Hayek photo
John P. Kotter photo
Stephenie Meyer photo
Linus Torvalds photo

“The thing that has always disturbed me about O_DIRECT is that the whole interface is just stupid, and was probably designed by a deranged monkey on some serious mind-controlling substances. [*]

[*] In other words, it's an Oracleism.”

Linus Torvalds (1969) Finnish-American software engineer and hacker

Notes: from NOTES topic of open(2) manpage, 2009-04-13 http://linux.die.net/man/2/open,
2000s, 2009

Christopher Hitchens photo
Charles Stross photo
Percy Bysshe Shelley photo
Houston Stewart Chamberlain photo
Ulysses S. Grant photo
Walter Rauschenbusch photo
Linus Torvalds photo

“If 386BSD had been available when I started on Linux, Linux would probably never had happened.”

Linus Torvalds (1969) Finnish-American software engineer and hacker

Attributed
Source: Mike Linksvayer's 1993 interview http://gondwanaland.com/meta/history/interview.html in the first issue of Meta Magazine http://gondwanaland.com/meta/history/

William Ralph Inge photo
Shah Jahan photo
Theodor Mommsen photo
Ellen DeGeneres photo
Ben Croshaw photo
Frederick Douglass photo
Dinah Craik photo

“When code and comments disagree, both are probably wrong.”

More Programming Pearls: Confessions of a Coder, Column 6: Bumper-Sticker Computer Science. http://www.softwarequotes.com/ShowQuotes.asp?ID=660&Name=Schryer%20,_Norm&Type=Q

Gene Spafford photo

“Our examination of computer viruses leads us to the conclusion that they are very close to what we might define as "artificial life." Rather than representing a scientific achievement, this probably represents a flaw in our definition.”

Gene Spafford (1956) American computer scientist

"Computer Viruses: A Form of Artificial Life?" (invited contribution); Artificial Life II, Studies in the Sciences of Complexity, vol. XII, eds. D. Farmer, C. Langton, S. Rasmussen, and C. Taylor; Addison-Wesley; pp. 727–747; 1991.

Kathy Griffin photo
Georges Bernanos photo
Frank Wilczek photo
Robert Fripp photo
Glen Cook photo
Claudia Alexander photo

“Reality, in its quantitative aspect, must be considered as a system of populations… The general study of the equilibria and dynamics of populations seems to have no name; but as it has probably reached its highest development in the biological study known as 'ecology,' this name may well be given to it.”

Kenneth E. Boulding (1910–1993) British-American economist

Source: 1950s, A Reconstruction of Economics, 1950, p. 5. as cited in: Robert A. Solow (1994) " Kenneth Ewart Boulding: 1910-1993. An Appreciation http://www.jstor.org/stable/4226892". In: Journal of Economic Issues. Vol. 28, No. 4 (Dec., 1994), pp. 1187-1200

Ryan Adams photo
Sid Vicious photo

“I'll probably die by the time I reach 25. But I'll have lived the way I wanted to.”

Sid Vicious (1957–1979) English bassist and vocalist

Daily Mirror, June 11, 1977, as reported in Fred Vermorel, Judy Vermorel, Sex Pistols: The Inside Story (1987), p. 169.

“Most accidents in well-designed systems involve two or more events of low probability occurring in the worst possible combination.”

Robert E. Machol (1917–1998) American systems engineer

Cited in: Richard K. Betts (1982) Surprise attack: lessons for defense planning. p. 158
Principles of Operations Research (1975)

Jeet Thayil photo
PewDiePie photo
G. K. Chesterton photo
Joseph Heller photo