
p, 125
What Mad Pursuit (1988)
If its predictions appear obvious to experimentalists, why would they need a theory?
What Mad Pursuit (1988)
p, 125
What Mad Pursuit (1988)
Source: The End of Science (1996), p. 70
“It is a test of true theories not only to account for but to predict phenomena.”
Aphorism 39.
Philosophy of the Inductive Sciences (1840)
Dangerous Minds: Criminal profiling made easy., Malcolm Gladwell, 2007-11-12, The New Yorker, 2008-01-01 http://www.newyorker.com/reporting/2007/11/12/071112fa_fact_gladwell,
“It's tough to make predictions, especially about the future”
The earliest citations of this proverb, from the mid-twentieth century, refer to it as Danish in origin. See http://quoteinvestigator.com/2013/10/20/no-predict/
Disputed, Misattributed
Source: A Brief History of Time (1988), Ch. 1
Context: Any physical theory is always provisional, in the sense that it is only a hypothesis: you can never prove it. No matter how many times the results of experiments agree with some theory, you can never be sure that the next time the result will not contradict the theory. On the other hand, you can disprove a theory by finding even a single observation that disagrees with the predictions of the theory. As philosopher of science Karl Popper has emphasized, a good theory is characterized by the fact that it makes a number of predictions that could in principle be disproved or falsified by observation. Each time new experiments are observed to agree with the predictions the theory survives, and our confidence in it is increased; but if ever a new observation is found to disagree, we have to abandon or modify the theory.
[2008, http://www.edge.org/q2008/q08_5.html#baez, Should I be thinking about quantum gravity? (essay at the World Question Center), edge.org]