„The fundamental cause of the trouble is that in the modern world the stupid are cocksure while the intelligent are full of doubt.“
— Bertrand Russell logician, one of the first analytic philosophers and political activist 1872 - 1970
1930s, Mortals and Others (1931-35), Often paraphrased as "The whole problem with the world is that fools and fanatics are always so certain of themselves, but wiser people so full of doubts." Compare: "One of the painful things about our time is that those who feel certainty are stupid, and those with any imagination and understanding are filled with doubt and indecision." B. Russell, New Hopes for a Changing World (1951). Compare also: "The best lack all conviction, while the worst / Are full of passionate intensity." W. B. Yeats, The Second Coming (1919). See also: Dunning-Kruger effect, Historical Antecedents https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning–Kruger_effect#Historical_antecedents.