Ray Kurzweil (1948) Author, scientist, inventor, and futurist
The Age of Spiritual Machines: When Computers Exceed Human Intelligence (1999)
The Age of Spiritual Machines: When Computers Exceed Human Intelligence (1999)
Ray Kurzweil (1948) Author, scientist, inventor, and futurist
The Age of Spiritual Machines: When Computers Exceed Human Intelligence (1999)
“A quantity growing exponentially toward a limit reaches that limit in a surprisingly short time.”
Donella Meadows (1941–2001) American environmental scientist, teacher, and writer
Thinking in systems: A Primer (2008)
“Thus the so-called Moore's law is incorrect, since it implies only an exponential growth.”
Didier Sornette (1957) French scientist
Source: Why Stock Markets Crash - Critical Events in Complex Systems (2003), Chapter 10, 2050: The End Of The Growth Era?, p. 379.
Context: Faster-than-exponential growth also occurs in computing power, as measured by the evolution of the number of MIPS per $1,000 of computer from 1900 to 1997. Thus the so-called Moore's law is incorrect, since it implies only an exponential growth. This faster than exponential acceleration has been argued to lead to a transition to a new era, around 2030, corresponding to the epoch when we will have the technological means to create superhuman intelligence.
Frederik Pohl (1919–2013) American science fiction writer and editor
Day Million (p. 441)
Platinum Pohl (2005)
Kevin Kelly (1952) American author and editor
Out of Control: The New Biology of Machines, Social Systems and the Economic World (1995), New Rules for the New Economy: 10 Radical Strategies for a Connected World (1999)
Ray Kurzweil (1948) Author, scientist, inventor, and futurist
The Age of Spiritual Machines: When Computers Exceed Human Intelligence (1999)
Friedrich Hayek (1899–1992) Austrian and British economist and Nobel Prize for Economics laureate
"Intertemporal Price Equilibrium and Movement in the Value of Money" (1928)
1920s–1930s
Ray Kurzweil (1948) Author, scientist, inventor, and futurist
"The Singularity," The New Humanists: Science at the Edge (2003)