
The Age of Spiritual Machines: When Computers Exceed Human Intelligence (1999)
The Age of Spiritual Machines: When Computers Exceed Human Intelligence (1999)
The Age of Spiritual Machines: When Computers Exceed Human Intelligence (1999)
“A quantity growing exponentially toward a limit reaches that limit in a surprisingly short time.”
Thinking in systems: A Primer (2008)
“Thus the so-called Moore's law is incorrect, since it implies only an exponential growth.”
Source: Why Stock Markets Crash - Critical Events in Complex Systems (2003), Chapter 10, 2050: The End Of The Growth Era?, p. 379.
Context: Faster-than-exponential growth also occurs in computing power, as measured by the evolution of the number of MIPS per $1,000 of computer from 1900 to 1997. Thus the so-called Moore's law is incorrect, since it implies only an exponential growth. This faster than exponential acceleration has been argued to lead to a transition to a new era, around 2030, corresponding to the epoch when we will have the technological means to create superhuman intelligence.
Day Million (p. 441)
Platinum Pohl (2005)
Out of Control: The New Biology of Machines, Social Systems and the Economic World (1995), New Rules for the New Economy: 10 Radical Strategies for a Connected World (1999)
The Age of Spiritual Machines: When Computers Exceed Human Intelligence (1999)
"Intertemporal Price Equilibrium and Movement in the Value of Money" (1928)
1920s–1930s
"The Singularity," The New Humanists: Science at the Edge (2003)