The Age of Spiritual Machines: When Computers Exceed Human Intelligence (1999)
“The Law of Accelerating Returns: As order exponentially increases, time exponentially speeds up (that is, the time interval between salient events grows shorter as time passes). The Law… applies specifically to evolutionary processes.”
The Age of Spiritual Machines: When Computers Exceed Human Intelligence (1999)
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Ray Kurzweil 40
Author, scientist, inventor, and futurist 1948Related quotes
“A quantity growing exponentially toward a limit reaches that limit in a surprisingly short time.”
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“Thus the so-called Moore's law is incorrect, since it implies only an exponential growth.”
Source: Why Stock Markets Crash - Critical Events in Complex Systems (2003), Chapter 10, 2050: The End Of The Growth Era?, p. 379.
Context: Faster-than-exponential growth also occurs in computing power, as measured by the evolution of the number of MIPS per $1,000 of computer from 1900 to 1997. Thus the so-called Moore's law is incorrect, since it implies only an exponential growth. This faster than exponential acceleration has been argued to lead to a transition to a new era, around 2030, corresponding to the epoch when we will have the technological means to create superhuman intelligence.
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Out of Control: The New Biology of Machines, Social Systems and the Economic World (1995), New Rules for the New Economy: 10 Radical Strategies for a Connected World (1999)
The Age of Spiritual Machines: When Computers Exceed Human Intelligence (1999)
"Intertemporal Price Equilibrium and Movement in the Value of Money" (1928)
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"The Singularity," The New Humanists: Science at the Edge (2003)