“It is not merely a question of calculating with probabilities but also one of relating the ingredients of your probability statements to reality. You do not need to think only about p(E|K) but also about the precise nature of E and K.”

—  Dennis Lindley

5. The Rules of Probability. p. 78.
Understanding Uncertainty (2006)

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Dennis Lindley14
British statistician 1923–2013

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