
"The Scientific Aspect of Monte Carlo Roulette" (1894)
Retrospect of criticisms of the theory of natural selection. In Evolution as a Process, eds. J.S.Huxley, A.C.Hardy and E.B.Ford, London: Allen and Unwin, 1954.
1950s
"The Scientific Aspect of Monte Carlo Roulette" (1894)
“Faith may be defined briefly as an illogical belief in the occurrence of the improbable.”
1920s, Prejudices, Third Series (1922)
“Faith may be defined briefly as an illogical belief in the occurrence of the improbable.”
Source: 1920s, Prejudices, Third Series (1922), Ch. 14 "Types of Men" - 3 : The Believer
Source: Prejudices: Third Series
Fifth Lecture, Applications in Statistics and the Theory of Errors, p. 141
Probability, Statistics And Truth - Second Revised English Edition - (1957)
[2000, The Case for Faith: A Journalist Investigates the Toughest Objections to Christianity, Lee, Strobel, Zondervan, Grand Rapids, 9780310565703, http://books.google.com/books?id=5kgb7v1qlF4C]
Fiction, "The Fifth Head of Cerberus", Orbit 10 (1972)
“...non-reproducible single occurrences are of no significance to science.”
Source: The Logic of Scientific Discovery (1934), Ch. 4 "Falsifiability", Section XXII: Falsifiability and Falsification. p. 66.
“It is a part of probability that many improbable things will happen.”
Aristotle, Poetics, XXV, quoted by George Eliot in an epigraph to Chapter 41 of Daniel Deronda.
The Twilight Zone, "The Fugitive" (1962).
The Twilight Zone