“The fox knows many things, but the hedgehog knows one big thing.”
“The intellectually aggressive hedgehogs knew one big thing and sought, under the banner of parsimony, to expand the explanatory power of that big thing to “cover” new cases; the more eclectic foxes knew many little things and were content to improvise ad hoc solutions to keep pace with a rapidly changing world.”
About prediction and forecasting. Fox commented that "psychologist Philip Tetlock (following the lead of Isaiah Berlin), divided the world of political forecasters into hedgehogs and foxes."
Source: Justin Fox. " How to Be Bad at Forecasting https://hbr.org/2012/05/how-to-be-bad-at-forecasting.html," in Harvard Business Review, May 11, 2012.
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Philip E. Tetlock 5
American political science writer 1954Related quotes
“The fox knows many things, but the hedgehog knows one big thing.”
As quoted in The Hedgehog and the Fox (1953) by Isaiah Berlin
Variant translations:
The fox knows many things; the hedgehog one great thing.
The fox knows many tricks; the hedgehog one good one.
The fox knows many tricks; and the hedgehog only one; but that is the best one of all.
Fragments
What Time Is It? You Mean Now?: Advice for Life from the Zennest Master of Them All, Simon and Schuster, 2003, ISBN 0743244532, p. 69.
Yogiisms
“It's the little details that are vital. Little things make big things happen.”
“The next big thing is the one that makes the last big thing usable.”
Blog entry http://blakeross.com/index.php?p=150
“A tiny remnant of a big thing is better than a whole little thing.”
Orot Hatchiah 14.
Orot