“The problem with experts is that they do not know what they do not know”

Source: The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable

Last update June 3, 2021. History

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb 196
Lebanese-American essayist, scholar, statistician, former t… 1960

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“To know that we know what we know, and that we do not know what we do not know, that is true knowledge.”

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As quoted in Walden (1854) by Henry David Thoreau, Ch. 1
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“To know that we know what we know, and that we do not know what we do not know, that is true knowledge.”

Nicolaus Copernicus (1473–1543) Renaissance mathematician, Polish astronomer, physician

Confucius, as quoted in Walden (1854) by Henry David Thoreau, Ch. 1
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“The most difficult thing is to know what we do know, and what we do not know.”

Source: Tertium Organum (1912; 1922), Ch. I
Context: The most difficult thing is to know what we do know, and what we do not know.
Therefore, desiring to know anything, we shall before all else determine WHAT we accept as given, and WHAT as demanding definition and proof; that is, determine WHAT we know already, and WHAT we wish to know.
In relation to the knowledge of the world and of ourselves, the conditions would be ideal could we venture to accept nothing as given, and count all as demanding definition and proof. In other words, it would be best to assume that we know nothing, and make this our point of departure.
But unfortunately such conditions are impossible to create. Knowledge must start from some foundation, something must be recognized as known; otherwise we shall be obliged always to define one unknown by means of another.

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“The problem with doing nothing is not knowing when you are finished.”

Nelson DeMille (1943) American writer

Variant: The problem with doing nothing is that you never know when you're finished.

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