"The Scientific Aspect of Monte Carlo Roulette" (1894)
“…it was Darwin’s chief contribution, not only to Biology but to the whole of natural science, to have brought to light a process by which contingencies a priori improbable, are given, in the process of time, an increasing probability, until it is their non-occurrence rather than their occurrence which becomes highly improbable. … Let the reader … attempt to calculate the prior probability that a hundred generations of his ancestry in the direct male line should each have left at least one son. The odds against such a contingency as it would have appeared to his hundredth ancestor (about the time of King Solomon) would require for their expression forty- four figures of the decimal notation; yet this improbable event has certainly happened.”
Retrospect of criticisms of the theory of natural selection. In Evolution as a Process, eds. J.S.Huxley, A.C.Hardy and E.B.Ford, London: Allen and Unwin, 1954.
1950s
Help us to complete the source, original and additional information
Ronald Fisher 28
English statistician, evolutionary biologist, geneticist, a… 1890–1962Related quotes
“Faith may be defined briefly as an illogical belief in the occurrence of the improbable.”
1920s, Prejudices, Third Series (1922)
“Faith may be defined briefly as an illogical belief in the occurrence of the improbable.”
Source: 1920s, Prejudices, Third Series (1922), Ch. 14 "Types of Men" - 3 : The Believer
Source: Prejudices: Third Series
Fifth Lecture, Applications in Statistics and the Theory of Errors, p. 141
Probability, Statistics And Truth - Second Revised English Edition - (1957)
[2000, The Case for Faith: A Journalist Investigates the Toughest Objections to Christianity, Lee, Strobel, Zondervan, Grand Rapids, 9780310565703, http://books.google.com/books?id=5kgb7v1qlF4C]
Fiction, "The Fifth Head of Cerberus", Orbit 10 (1972)
“...non-reproducible single occurrences are of no significance to science.”
Source: The Logic of Scientific Discovery (1934), Ch. 4 "Falsifiability", Section XXII: Falsifiability and Falsification. p. 66.
“It is a part of probability that many improbable things will happen.”
Aristotle, Poetics, XXV, quoted by George Eliot in an epigraph to Chapter 41 of Daniel Deronda.
The Twilight Zone, "The Fugitive" (1962).
The Twilight Zone