“When loops are present, the network is no longer singly connected and local propagation schemes will invariably run into trouble.. If we ignore the existence of loops and permit the nodes to continue communicating with each other as if the network were singly connected, messages may circulate indefinitely around the loops and process may not converges to a stable equilibrium… Such oscillations do not normally occur in probabilistic networks… which tend to bring all messages to some stable equilibrium as time goes on. However, this asymptotic equilibrium is not coherent, in the sense that it does not represent the posterior probabilities of all nodes of the network.”
Source: Probabilistic Reasoning in Intelligent Systems: Networks of Plausible Inference, 1988, p. 195
Help us to complete the source, original and additional information
Judea Pearl 9
Computer scientist 1936Related quotes

Source: Cosmos: A Co-creator's Guide to the Whole-World (2010), p. ix.

Von Foerster (1963, p. ii) as cited in Peter M. Asaro (2007). "Heinz von Foerster and the Bio-Computing Movements of the 1960s," http://cybersophe.org/writing/Asaro%20HVF%26BCL.pdf
1960s

Out of Control: The New Biology of Machines, Social Systems and the Economic World (1995), New Rules for the New Economy: 10 Radical Strategies for a Connected World (1999)

Source: Autopoiesis and cognition: The realization of the living (1980), p. 87.
“When there are long delays in feedback loops, some sort of foresight is essential.”
Thinking in systems: A Primer (2008)
Source: Global Shift (2003) (Fourth Edition), Chapter 8, Transnational Production Networks, p. 250