“Prediction is not the same thing as understanding, but in the absence of prediction, we can certainly doubt understanding.”

— Robyn Dawes

Source: Everyday Irrationality: How Pseudo-Scientists, Lunatics, and the Rest of Us Systematically Fail to Think Rationally (2001), Chapter 6, “Three Specific Irrationalities of Probabilistic Judgment” (p. 97)

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Robyn Dawes 11

American psychologist 1936–2010

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