“There is no effective difference between guessing a variable that is not random, but for which information is partial or deficient (…), and a random one (…). In this sense, guessing (what I don't know, but what someone else may know) and predicting (what has not taken place yet) are the same thing.”

—  Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Source: The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable (2007), p. 142

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb 196
Lebanese-American essayist, scholar, statistician, former t… 1960

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