“Actually, even with tested missiles, results of attacks are not really mathematically predictable. The probability of extreme variations in performance, the upper and lower limits, cannot be calculated accurately. But laymen or narrow professionals persist in regarding the matter as a simple problem in engineering and physics.”

—  Herman Kahn

The Magnum Opus; On Thermonuclear War

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Herman Kahn 27
American futurist 1922–1983

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