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Nassim Nicholas Taleb citations
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb est un écrivain, statisticien et essayiste spécialisé en épistémologie des probabilités et un praticien en mathématiques financières libano-américain.

Il est actuellement professeur d'ingénierie du risque à l'Institut polytechnique de l'université de New York,,.

Proche du mathématicien Benoît Mandelbrot et du psychologue Daniel Kahneman , Nassim Nicholas Taleb est surnommé « le dissident de Wall Street » sur les marchés financiers internationaux. Spécialisé dans l'évaluation des risques d’événements rares et imprévus, il a été courtier en bourse pendant 20 ans à New York et à Londres avant de devenir professeur.

Il a notamment adapté la théorie du cygne noir au domaine statistique et à la prise de décision sous incertitude. Wikipedia  

✵ 11. septembre 1960   •   Autres noms نسیم نقولا طالب, 나심 니컬러스 탈레브
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb: 198   citations 1   J'aime

Nassim Nicholas Taleb Citations

“Je préférerais être bête et antifragile qu’extrêmement intelligent et fragile, à n’importe quel moment.”

Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Antifragile: Les bienfaits du désordre

“Le processus de la découverte (ou de l’innovation, ou du progrès technologique) dépend lui-même d’un bricolage antifragile, d’une brusque prise de risques plutôt que d’une culture formelle.”

Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Antifragile: Les bienfaits du désordre

Nassim Nicholas Taleb: Citations en anglais

“The fragile wants tranquility, the antifragile grows from disorder, and the robust doesn't care too much.”

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb livre Antifragile: Things That Gain from Disorder

Source: Antifragile: Things That Gain from Disorder (2012), p. 20

“A competitive athlete is painful to look at; trying hard to become an animal rather than a man, he will never be as fast as a cheetah or as strong as an ox.”

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb livre The Bed of Procrustes: Philosophical and Practical Aphorisms

Source: The Bed of Procrustes: Philosophical and Practical Aphorisms (2010), p. 41

“There is no effective difference between guessing a variable that is not random, but for which information is partial or deficient (…), and a random one (…). In this sense, guessing (what I don't know, but what someone else may know) and predicting (what has not taken place yet) are the same thing.”

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Source: The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable (2007), p. 142

“It is often the mistakes of others that benefit the rest of us—and, sadly, not them … For the antifragile, harm from errors should be less than the benefits.”

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb livre Antifragile: Things That Gain from Disorder

Source: Antifragile: Things That Gain from Disorder (2012), p. 72

“You want to be yourself, idiosyncratic; the collective (school, rules, jobs, technology) wants you generic to the point of castration.”

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb livre The Bed of Procrustes: Philosophical and Practical Aphorisms

Source: The Bed of Procrustes: Philosophical and Practical Aphorisms (2010), p. 54

“Because our minds need to reduce information, we are more likely to try to squeeze a phenomenon into the Procrustean bed of a crisp and known category (amputating the unknown), rather than suspend categorization, and make it tangible. Thanks to our detections of false patterns, along with real ones, what is random will appear less random and more certain—our overactive brains are more likely to impose the wrong, simplistic, narrative than no narrative at all.”

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb livre The Bed of Procrustes: Philosophical and Practical Aphorisms

Source: The Bed of Procrustes: Philosophical and Practical Aphorisms (2010), p. 105

“The casino is the only human venture I know where the probabilities are known, Gaussian (i. e., bell-curve), and almost computable.”

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Source: The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable (2007), p. 127

“The fool generalizes the particular; the nerd particularizes the general; … the wise does neither.”

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb livre The Bed of Procrustes: Philosophical and Practical Aphorisms

Source: The Bed of Procrustes: Philosophical and Practical Aphorisms (2010), p. 53

“Globalization creates interlocking fragility, while reducing volatility and giving the appearance of stability. In other words it creates devastating Black Swans. We have never lived before under the threat of a global collapse. Financial Institutions have been merging into a smaller number of very large banks. Almost all banks are interrelated. So the financial ecology is swelling into gigantic, incestuous, bureaucratic banks — when one fails, they all fall. The increased concentration among banks seems to have the effect of making financial crisis less likely, but when they happen they are more global in scale and hit us very hard. We have moved from a diversified ecology of small banks, with varied lending policies, to a more homogeneous framework of firms that all resemble one another. True, we now have fewer failures, but when they occur… I shiver at the thought.”

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Source: The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable (2007), pp. 225-226

“A good maxim allows you to have the last word without even starting a conversation.”

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb livre The Bed of Procrustes: Philosophical and Practical Aphorisms

Source: The Bed of Procrustes: Philosophical and Practical Aphorisms (2010), p. 45

“Forecasting by bureaucrats tends to be used for anxiety relief rather than for adequate policy making.”

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Source: The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable (2007), p. 162

“You can tell how uninteresting a person is by asking him whom he finds interesting.”

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb livre The Bed of Procrustes: Philosophical and Practical Aphorisms

Source: The Bed of Procrustes: Philosophical and Practical Aphorisms (2010), p. 28

“Much of modern life is preventable chronic stress injury.”

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb livre Antifragile: Things That Gain from Disorder

Source: Antifragile: Things That Gain from Disorder (2012), p. 64

“Greatness starts with the replacement of hatred with polite disdain.”

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb livre The Bed of Procrustes: Philosophical and Practical Aphorisms

Source: The Bed of Procrustes: Philosophical and Practical Aphorisms (2010), p. 64

“The worst side effect of wealth is the social associations it forces on its victims, as people with big houses end up socializing with other people with big houses.”

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb livre Antifragile: Things That Gain from Disorder

Source: Antifragile: Things That Gain from Disorder (2012), p. 174

“It is all about redundancy. Nature likes to overinsure itself.”

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb livre Antifragile: Things That Gain from Disorder

Source: Antifragile: Things That Gain from Disorder (2012), p. 44

“Procrastination is the soul rebelling against entrapment.”

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb livre The Bed of Procrustes: Philosophical and Practical Aphorisms

Source: The Bed of Procrustes: Philosophical and Practical Aphorisms (2010), p. 8

“Social science means inventing a certain brand of human we can understand.”

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb livre The Bed of Procrustes: Philosophical and Practical Aphorisms

Source: The Bed of Procrustes: Philosophical and Practical Aphorisms (2010), p. 95

“You have a real life if and only if you do not compete with anyone in any of your pursuits.”

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb livre The Bed of Procrustes: Philosophical and Practical Aphorisms

Source: The Bed of Procrustes: Philosophical and Practical Aphorisms (2010), p. 39

“Cumulative errors depend largely on the big surprises, the big opportunities. Not only do economic, financial, and political predictors miss them, but they are quite ashamed to say anything outlandish to their clients — and yet events, it turns out, are almost always outlandish.”

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Source: The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable (2007), p. 149

“One cannot assert authority by accepting one's own fallibility. Simply, people need to be blinded by knowledge - we are made to follow leaders who can gather people together because the advantages of being in groups trump the disadvantages of being alone. It has been more profitable for us to bind together in the wrong direction than to be alone in the right one. Those who have followed the assertive idiot rather than the introspective wise person have passed us some of their genes. This is apparent from a social pathology: psychopaths rally followers.”

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Source: The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable (2007), p. 192

“Don't cross a river if it is four feet deep on average.”

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Source: The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable (2007), p. 161

“Randomness works well in search—sometimes better than humans.”

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb livre Antifragile: Things That Gain from Disorder

Source: Antifragile: Things That Gain from Disorder (2012), p. 103

“Intelligence consists in ignoring things that are irrelevant.”

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb livre The Bed of Procrustes: Philosophical and Practical Aphorisms

Source: The Bed of Procrustes: Philosophical and Practical Aphorisms (2010), p. 78

“Rank beliefs not according to their plausibility but by the harm they may cause.”

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Source: The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable (2007), p. 203

“If humans fight the last war, nature fights the next one.”

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb livre Antifragile: Things That Gain from Disorder

Source: Antifragile: Things That Gain from Disorder (2012), p. 46

“I disagree with the followers of Marx and those of Adam Smith: the reason free markets work is because they allow people to be lucky, thanks to aggressive trial and error, not by giving rewards or "incentives" for skill.”

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Source: The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable (2007), p. xxi

“Older people are most beautiful when they have what is lacking in the young: poise, erudition, wisdom, phronesis, and this post-heroic absence of agitation.”

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb livre The Bed of Procrustes: Philosophical and Practical Aphorisms

Source: The Bed of Procrustes: Philosophical and Practical Aphorisms (2010), p. 24

“Simplicity is not so simple to attain.”

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb livre Antifragile: Things That Gain from Disorder

Source: Antifragile: Things That Gain from Disorder (2012), p. 11

“Consider that the turkey's experience may have, rather than no value, a negative value. It learned from observation, as we are all advised to do (hey, after all, this is what is believed to be the scientific method). Its confidence increased as the number of friendly feedings grew, and it felt increasingly safe even though the slaughter was more and more imminent. Consider that the feeling of safety reached its maximum when the risk was at the highest!”

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Source: The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable (2007), pp. 40–41 (Taleb attributes the parable of the turkey to Bertrand Russell, who originally wrote of a chicken.)